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Monday, July 26, 2010

FDI Malaysia Merudum, Apa Reaksi Najib?

WZWH ingin analisa kenapa FDI (foreign direct investment) Malaysia merudum?

  • Berdasarkan kepada laporan Unctad pada Disember 2009 daya tarikan FDI Malaysia jatuh daripada tangga 62 kepada 66
  • kemasukan FDI ke negara ini adalah pada tahap RM22.1 bilion berbanding RM75.5 bilion bagi Singapura dan Thailand serta Indonesia masing-masing merekodkan FDI sebanyak RM27 bilion.

Ini WZWH tidak pelik sebab kemelesetan ekonomi US, Eropah telah menjejaskan kemasukan FDI ke Malaysia. Indonesia dan Filipina negara yang lebih teruk indek rasuah dari Malaysia kenapa lebih baik kedudukannya? Hujah Anwar tidak berasas.

Mengapa Malaysia ketinggalan di belakang negara-negara ini? Kejatuhan pelaburan langsung asing (FDI) sebanyak 81 peratus ke negara ini menghilangkan kelayakan Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak sebagai Perdana Menteri dan Menteri Kewangan, kata Naib Presiden PAS, Datuk Mahfuz Omar.

Kita lihat apa kata MITI;

FDI For First Quarter 2010 Nearly Matched Total In 2009, Says MITI

The Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) stated Monday that foreign direct investment (FDI) for first quarter of 2010 has nearly matched the full year of 2009.


"But this is not enough. As the Prime Minister has stated, we still have to continue with reforms to make Malaysia more attractive to investors and to help us achieve the goals set out in the 10th Malaysia Plan and under Vision 2020," said its minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed.

In a statement, Mustapa said the government had already taken initiatives to cope the issue, and to date, Malaysia has already seen an increase in FDI over the first quarter this year.

FDI inflows totalled RM5.06 billion for the January to March 2010 period, compared with RM5.66 billion for all of 2009, he said.

Last week, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) in its World Investment Report 2010 said that Malaysia's FDI fell by 81 per cent last year, trailing behind countries like the Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia and Singapore.

While acknowledging the dampening FDI inflows into Malaysia, Mustapa said it should be highlighted that Malaysia was also named in the same report as one of the top 15 host countries for FDI for 2010-2012 by a survey of transnational corporations.

He said the government had introduced several key initiatives, such as economic liberalisation, the Government Transformation Programme, New Economic Model and 10th Malaysia Plan to spur the economy.

Having seen the early signs of the decline, the government instituted wide-ranging reforms as early as April 2009, Mustapa said.

"These efforts will achieve results over time. Malaysia has already seen an increase in FDI over the first quarter of 2010," he said.

Apa pandangan tokoh bank Nazir Razak pula:

Nazir cautions against bashing low FDI figures

It doesn’t mean that the net investment flow is lower, is necessarily bad,” the CIMB Group managing director and chief executive told reporters here.

“Look at the quality of the investments and look at the facts in terms of the timing of investments.

“It could be some delays. It could be a big, lumpy Malaysian investment overseas that distorts the net number,” added Nazir, who is also the younger brother to Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak.

He said cited CIMB and Maybank’s “huge” investments into Indonesia as possible factors that contributed to lower FDI figures so far this year.

“Is that a bad thing? It’s a good thing because, in the long term, it is beneficial for Malaysia that Maybank invests and earns return from Indonesia,” he said.

“So I don’t think we should be jumping and getting overexcited about this investment data that’s come out.”

Najib has been trying to lift Malaysia’s profile as a destination for foreign investment to help the country achieve an average GDP growth of at least 6 per cent per annum over the next five years.

However, his administration has insisted that the GDP growth target is still achievable despite warning that the economy may slow down in the second half of the year due to external factors.

WZWH berpendapat hujah Menteri MITI bahawa FDI Malaysia pada suku pertama 2010 hampir menyamai jumlah keseluruhan FDI 2009 menunjukkan peningkatan FDI. Kerajaan telah mengambil langkah-langkah reform sejak April 2009 seperti Liberasi Ekonomi, GTP, MEB, dan RMK10 untuk merancakkan ekonomi.

Malaysia juga negara TOP 15 sebagai hos FDI bagi tahun 2010-2012 oleh Survey of Transnational Corporations. Usaha-usaha ini akan membuahkan hasil bila tiba masanya nanti.

Apa yang Nazir Razak cakap betul bahawa bank-bank seperti CIMB dan Maybank banyak melabur di Indonesia. Ini strategi perniagaan bagi merebut peluang pasaran di rantau Asean. Petronas juga banyak melabur berbilion-bilion di seluruh dunia bagi mencarigali sumber baru minyak. Syarikat GLC seperti Sime Darby dan Felda pun banyak melabur di luar negara. Bila tiba untung, wang dari luar negara akan masuk ke Malaysia dari segi jangka panjang.

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